HonestElo
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Patrick Williams

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1467 ±39
LCB 1417
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Apr 14, 2018
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Apr 26, 2014 — L vs Chris Beal Δ-33Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Alejandro Perez Δ+40Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Tom Duquesnoy Δ-34Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Luke Sanders Δ-29 14041439147515111547 2015201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":142.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Chris Beal","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":266.8,"y":83.3,"elo":1507,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Alejandro Perez","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":2,"x":662,"y":133.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Tom Duquesnoy","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":176.7,"elo":1444,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Luke Sanders","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 14, 2018 Luke Sanders L -29
Apr 15, 2017 Tom Duquesnoy L -34
Jun 13, 2015 Alejandro Perez W +40
Apr 26, 2014 Chris Beal L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.85 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.85 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.88 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.38 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1501
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected