HonestElo
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Chris Beal

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1474 ±42
LCB 1420
Rank
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
Jun 18, 2016
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 26, 2014 — W vs Patrick Williams Δ+33Sep 5, 2014 — W vs Tateki Matsuda Δ+26Jan 24, 2015 — L vs Neil Seery Δ-33Aug 23, 2015 — L vs Chris Kelades Δ-31Jun 18, 2016 — L vs Joe Soto Δ-41 14141460150715531599 20152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":99.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Patrick Williams","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":167.4,"y":69.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Tateki Matsuda","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":320.7,"y":108,"elo":1526,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":550,"y":143.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Chris Kelades","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":190.3,"elo":1454,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Joe Soto","result":"L","delta":-41}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 18, 2016 Joe Soto L -41
Aug 23, 2015 Chris Kelades L -31
Jan 24, 2015 Neil Seery L -33
Sep 5, 2014 Tateki Matsuda W +26
Apr 26, 2014 Patrick Williams W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.23 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.97 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.50 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
58% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
78% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.21 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1483
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual -1 vs expected