HonestElo
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Roger Narvaez

Inactive · Southpaw · 191 cm
Elo rating
1491 ±45
LCB 1433
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Mar 14, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Jun 7, 2014 — L vs Patrick Cummins Δ-36Nov 22, 2014 — W vs Luke Barnatt Δ+37Mar 14, 2015 — L vs Elias Theodorou Δ-27 14241454148315121541 2015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":163.1,"elo":1464,"date":"2014-06-07","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":535.2,"y":96.9,"elo":1501,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Luke Barnatt","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":145.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2015-03-14","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2015 Elias Theodorou L -27
Nov 22, 2014 Luke Barnatt W +37
Jun 7, 2014 Patrick Cummins L -36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.91 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
37% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.00 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.86 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1533
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.3
actual 0 vs expected