HonestElo
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Jean Matsumoto

Elo rating
1544 ±36
LCB 1498
Rank
#46
top 48% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -22 · Δ1y +7
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Dan Argueta Δ+34Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Brad Katona Δ+27Feb 22, 2025 — L vs Rob Font Δ-24Aug 9, 2025 — W vs Miles Johns Δ+30Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Farid Basharat Δ-22 14941522155015781607 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":161,"elo":1534,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Dan Argueta","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":272.5,"y":109.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Brad Katona","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":432.3,"y":154.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Rob Font","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":645.3,"y":99,"elo":1567,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Miles Johns","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":141.2,"elo":1544,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Farid Basharat","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Farid Basharat L -22
Aug 9, 2025 Miles Johns W +30
Feb 22, 2025 Rob Font L -24
Oct 19, 2024 Brad Katona W +27
Apr 6, 2024 Dan Argueta W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.09 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.16 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.64 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
49% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
55% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.64 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1567
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.3
actual +1 vs expected