HonestElo
← bantamweight

Jean Matsumoto

Active #30 bantamweight · age 27 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Elo rating
1518
Global Elo 1558 ±31
Rank
#30
top 40% of division
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Jun 27, 2026
Win by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Dan Argueta Δ+34Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Brad Katona Δ+27Feb 22, 2025 — L vs Rob Font Δ-24Aug 9, 2025 — W vs Miles Johns Δ+30Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Farid Basharat Δ-22Jun 27, 2026 — W vs Bekzat Almakhan Δ+14 14701490151015301550 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":314.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Dan Argueta","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":263.8,"y":205.2,"elo":1521,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Brad Katona","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":375.5,"y":300.4,"elo":1497,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Rob Font","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":524.5,"y":182.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Miles Johns","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":685.9,"y":272.4,"elo":1504,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Farid Basharat","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":218.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2026-06-27","opp":"Bekzat Almakhan","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 27, 2026 Bekzat Almakhan W +14
Feb 7, 2026 Farid Basharat L -22
Aug 9, 2025 Miles Johns W +30
Feb 22, 2025 Rob Font L -24
Oct 19, 2024 Brad Katona W +27
How the wins come
  • 1 win by submission 25%
  • 3 wins by decision 75%

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 435 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 26%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 1%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 2 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1564
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Miles Johns
Elo 1545 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.9
+1.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1505
1489
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 25m
Avg fight time
14:10
Fights per year
2.7
Since last fight
4mo
Ground control
17m
vs Compare Jean Matsumoto with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1677
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1648
Song Yadong
#3 · Elo 1643
Farid Basharat
#4 · Elo 1640
Sean O'Malley
#5 · Elo 1632
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jean Matsumoto on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.