HonestElo
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Todd Duffee

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1540 ±39
LCB 1489
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Jul 15, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Tim Hague Δ+37May 29, 2010 — L vs Mike Russow Δ-34Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Philip De Fries Δ+35Dec 6, 2014 — W vs Anthony Hamilton Δ+30Jul 15, 2015 — L vs Frank Mir Δ-32 14631499153515721608 201020112012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":128.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Tim Hague","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":132.4,"y":177.5,"elo":1503,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Mike Russow","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":2,"x":507.6,"y":125.7,"elo":1538,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Philip De Fries","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":788.3,"y":82.5,"elo":1568,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Anthony Hamilton","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":129.2,"elo":1536,"date":"2015-07-15","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 15, 2015 Frank Mir L -32
Dec 6, 2014 Anthony Hamilton W +30
Dec 29, 2012 Philip De Fries W +35
May 29, 2010 Mike Russow L -34
Aug 29, 2009 Tim Hague W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.63 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.11 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
3
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (100%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual +1 vs expected