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Shane Carwin "The Engineer"

Inactive · age 51 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 265 lb 120 kg · reach 80" 203 cm
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2008
Elo rating
1530
Global Elo 1579 ±38
Rank
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jun 11, 2011
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
30m
Avg fight time
4:55
Title fights
1-1
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
15y

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
May 24, 2008 — W vs Christian Wellisch Δ+36Oct 18, 2008 — W vs Neil Wain Δ+30Mar 7, 2009 — W vs Gabriel Gonzaga Δ+35Mar 27, 2010 — W vs Frank Mir Δ+44Jul 3, 2010 — L vs Brock Lesnar Δ-45Jun 11, 2011 — L vs Junior Dos Santos Δ-13 14501475150015251550157516001625 200920102011 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":357,"elo":1479,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Christian Wellisch","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":185.1,"y":302.7,"elo":1509,"date":"2008-10-18","opp":"Neil Wain","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":275.7,"y":237.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2009-03-07","opp":"Gabriel Gonzaga","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":524.7,"y":157.7,"elo":1588,"date":"2010-03-27","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"W","delta":44},{"i":4,"x":588.1,"y":239.2,"elo":1543,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Brock Lesnar","result":"L","delta":-45},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":263.3,"elo":1530,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 11, 2011 Junior Dos Santos L -13
Jul 3, 2010 Brock Lesnar L -45
Mar 27, 2010 Frank Mir W +44
Mar 7, 2009 Gabriel Gonzaga W +35
Oct 18, 2008 Neil Wain W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
4 / 4
Finish rate
KO
4
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 4 (100%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
4 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 131 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
82% Head
  • Head 82%
  • Body 3%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
47% Ground
  • Distance 22%
  • Clinch 31%
  • Ground 47%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
1 of 2
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1599
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Frank Mir
Elo 1623 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.9
+1.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1532
1663
Notable wins

Top heavyweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Shane Carwin on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.