HonestElo
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Marcio Cruz

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm
Elo rating
1521 ±41
LCB 1468
Rank
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Dec 30, 2006
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Oct 7, 2005 — W vs Keigo Kunihara Δ+33Feb 4, 2006 — W vs Frank Mir Δ+41Apr 15, 2006 — L vs Jeff Monson Δ-34Dec 30, 2006 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-29 14711506154215781614 2006 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":143.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2005-10-07","opp":"Keigo Kunihara","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":251.7,"y":83.3,"elo":1574,"date":"2006-02-04","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":2,"x":384.5,"y":133.8,"elo":1540,"date":"2006-04-15","opp":"Jeff Monson","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":176.7,"elo":1511,"date":"2006-12-30","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 30, 2006 Andrei Arlovski L -29
Apr 15, 2006 Jeff Monson L -34
Feb 4, 2006 Frank Mir W +41
Oct 7, 2005 Keigo Kunihara W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.37 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.23 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
69% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.43 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
7% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.29 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1551
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual 0 vs expected