Joel Faglier "The Sniper"
Active Provisional
At a glance
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Elo rating
1518
Global Elo 1544 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d +44 · Δ1y +44
Last fight
Oct 17, 2026
Win by KO · R2
UFC debut the one fight we've seen
Won by KO/TKO · Round 2
Debut opponent
Javad Mahjoub 1500
Elo at fight time
The model gave Faglier a 50% pre-fight chance against this opponent. He came through.
Debut performance
7.1
Strikes landed / min
67%
Striking accuracy
47%
Striking defense
0.1m
Control / 15 min
This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →
Career at a glance
Octagon time
7m
Avg fight time
7:11
Since last fight
0d
Bonuses
1
1 post-fight bonus
- Performance of the Night ×1
UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Joel Faglier has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Honest Elo history
1 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Javad Mahjoub | W | +33 |
1 post-fight bonus
- Performance of the Night ×1
UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Joel Faglier has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Sean Sharaf7.50
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Mario Pinto69%
- 3Tom Aspinall68%
- 4Tallison Teixeira67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.88
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Striking Defense
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mario Pinto59%
- 3Brando Pericic58%
- 4Mick Parkin58%
- 5Tanner Boser58%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.04
- 4Mario Pinto4.62
- 5Louie Sutherland4.49
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Robelis Despaigne100%
- 2Tom Aspinall80%
- 3Tanner Boser75%
- 4Valter Walker69%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.58
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Alexandr Romanov0.86
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Mario Pinto7.37
- 5Alexandr Romanov7.32
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · heavyweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Tom Aspinall3.27
- 2Sergei Pavlovich1.89
- 3Josh Hokit1.50
- 4Brando Pericic1.20
- 5Steven Asplund1.16
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2 1 100%
R3
R4
R5
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 51 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
51% Body
- Head 37%
- Body 51%
- Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 8%
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Javad Mahjoub
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.5
+0.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
7m
Avg fight time
7:11
Since last fight
0d
Bonuses
1
Top heavyweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Joel Faglier on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.