HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Melissa Martinez

Active #45 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1465 ±39
LCB 1415
Rank
#45
top 86% of division
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -32
Last fight
Jul 12, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Elise Reed Δ-32Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Alice Ardelean Δ+29Jul 12, 2025 — L vs Fatima Kline Δ-32 14251453148115091537 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":154.8,"elo":1468,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Elise Reed","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":1,"x":657.2,"y":99.9,"elo":1497,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Alice Ardelean","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":160.1,"elo":1465,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Fatima Kline","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 12, 2025 Fatima Kline L -32
Oct 19, 2024 Alice Ardelean W +29
Sep 10, 2022 Elise Reed L -32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.58 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.93 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.33 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1482
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.5
actual -1 vs expected