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Adrian Luna Martinetti

Active Provisional · age 31 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1488
Global Elo 1514 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +40 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Apr 25, 2026
Loss by Decision
UFC debut the one fight we've seen

Lost by decision

Debut opponent
Davey Grant
1525
Elo at fight time · #39

The model gave Martinetti a 46% pre-fight chance against this opponent. It went the other way.

Debut performance
6.6
Strikes landed / min
51%
Striking accuracy
47%
Striking defense
0.7m
Control / 15 min

This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

1 fights · tap & drag
Apr 25, 2026 — L vs Davey Grant Δ-27 146014701480149015001510 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":234,"elo":1488,"date":"2026-04-25","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 25, 2026 Davey Grant L -27
1 post-fight bonus
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$100,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Adrian Luna Martinetti has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 99 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
48% Head
  • Head 48%
  • Body 37%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 0%

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.5
−0.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
15m
Avg fight time
15:00
Since last fight
6mo
Bonuses
1
vs Compare Adrian Luna Martinetti with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1677
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1648
Song Yadong
#3 · Elo 1643
Farid Basharat
#4 · Elo 1640
Sean O'Malley
#5 · Elo 1632
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Adrian Luna Martinetti on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.