Shanelle Dyer "The Nightmare"
Active Provisional · age 25 · Orthodox ·
5'6" 168 cm ·
115 lb 52 kg · reach
65" 165 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Aug 22
vs Elise Reed · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
At a glance
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1500
Global Elo 1526 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y +26
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
Win by KO · R2
UFC debut the one fight we've seen
Won by KO/TKO · Round 2
Debut opponent
Ravena Oliveira 1443
Elo at fight time · #36
The model gave Dyer a 58% pre-fight chance against this opponent. He came through.
Debut performance
7.8
Strikes landed / min
63%
Striking accuracy
68%
Striking defense
1.4m
Control / 15 min
This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6m
Avg fight time
6:17
Since last fight
5mo
Bonuses
1
1 post-fight bonus
- Performance of the Night ×1
UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Shanelle Dyer has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Honest Elo history
1 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ravena Oliveira | W | +28 |
1 post-fight bonus
- Performance of the Night ×1
UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Shanelle Dyer has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Alice Ardelean7.00
- 2Yazmin Jauregui6.64
- 3Jessica Andrade6.37
- 4Julia Polastri6.22
- 5Karolina Kowalkiewicz5.54
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Tatiana Suarez60%
- 2Julia Polastri58%
- 3Ketlen Souza57%
- 4Loma Lookboonmee56%
- 5Amanda Lemos55%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Tatiana Suarez1.63
- 2Jaqueline Amorim2.06
- 3Josefine Knutsson2.40
- 4Loma Lookboonmee2.45
- 5Fatima Kline2.46
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Striking Defense
- 1Stephanie Luciano64%
- 2Molly McCann63%
- 3Loopy Godinez62%
- 4Iasmin Lucindo62%
- 5Fatima Kline62%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Tatiana Suarez4.52
- 2Alexia Thainara4.24
- 3Piera Rodriguez4.21
- 4Carla Esparza3.28
- 5Fatima Kline3.13
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Josefine Knutsson75%
- 2Julia Polastri75%
- 3Yan Xiaonan73%
- 4Fatima Kline67%
- 5Stephanie Luciano63%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Alexia Thainara100%
- 2Talita Alencar100%
- 3Yazmin Jauregui100%
- 4Nicolle Caliari100%
- 5Alice Ardelean86%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Jaqueline Amorim4.27
- 2Alexia Thainara1.51
- 3Polyana Viana1.51
- 4Virna Jandiroba1.39
- 5Mackenzie Dern1.01
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Alexia Thainara9.30
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.09
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens strawweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Yazmin Jauregui0.71
- 2Amanda Lemos0.51
- 3Denise Gomes0.51
- 4Ketlen Souza0.45
- 5Viktoriia Dudakova0.37
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2 1 100%
R3
R4
R5
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 49 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
45% Head
- Head 45%
- Body 27%
- Leg 29%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 16%
- Ground 12%
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1443
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ravena Oliveira
Elo 1443 at fight time
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.6
+0.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6m
Avg fight time
6:17
Since last fight
5mo
Bonuses
1
Top womens strawweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Shanelle Dyer on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.