HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Raquel Pennington

Active #5 womens bantamweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1614 ±37
LCB 1566
Rank
#5
top 11% of division
UFC record
13-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 10
Streak
-1
Δ90d -6 · Δ1y -6
Last fight
Oct 5, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2013 — W vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ+29Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-32Dec 6, 2014 — W vs Ashlee Evans-Smith Δ+33Feb 28, 2015 — L vs Holly Holm Δ-31Sep 5, 2015 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+37Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Bethe Correia Δ+17Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Elizabeth Phillips Δ+13Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Miesha Tate Δ+15May 12, 2018 — L vs Amanda Nunes Δ-18Nov 10, 2018 — L vs Germaine de Randamie Δ-15Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Irene Aldana Δ+16Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Holly Holm Δ-18Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Marion Reneau Δ+15Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Pannie Kianzad Δ+15Dec 18, 2021 — W vs Macy Chiasson Δ+19Apr 9, 2022 — W vs Aspen Ladd Δ+15Jan 14, 2023 — W vs Ketlen Vieira Δ+15Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Mayra Bueno Silva Δ+16Oct 5, 2024 — L vs Julianna Pena Δ-22 14571513156916251682 20152017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":168.2,"elo":1529,"date":"2013-11-30","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":46.6,"y":198.2,"elo":1497,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":2,"x":103.8,"y":166.7,"elo":1530,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Ashlee Evans-Smith","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":121.8,"y":196.3,"elo":1499,"date":"2015-02-28","opp":"Holly Holm","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":162.5,"y":161.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":210.7,"y":145.9,"elo":1553,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Bethe Correia","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":237.8,"y":134.1,"elo":1565,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Elizabeth Phillips","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":255.8,"y":119.6,"elo":1580,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":373.2,"y":136.4,"elo":1563,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":412.4,"y":150.3,"elo":1548,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Germaine de Randamie","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":466.6,"y":135.6,"elo":1563,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Irene Aldana","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":505.7,"y":152.5,"elo":1546,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Holly Holm","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":538.8,"y":138.2,"elo":1561,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Marion Reneau","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":636.7,"y":123.6,"elo":1576,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Pannie Kianzad","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":656.2,"y":105.5,"elo":1595,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Macy Chiasson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":680.3,"y":91.5,"elo":1610,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Aspen Ladd","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":740.5,"y":77,"elo":1625,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Ketlen Vieira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":820.3,"y":61.8,"elo":1642,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Mayra Bueno Silva","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":82.5,"elo":1620,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Julianna Pena","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 5, 2024 Julianna Pena L -22
Jan 20, 2024 Mayra Bueno Silva W +16
Jan 14, 2023 Ketlen Vieira W +15
Apr 9, 2022 Aspen Ladd W +15
Dec 18, 2021 Macy Chiasson W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.04 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.27 avg 2.99
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.81 avg 1.31
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
28% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.61 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
23%
3 / 13
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
23% of wins
DEC
10
77% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (23%) 3 Dec: 10 (77%) 10
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1584
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.8
actual +3 vs expected