HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Marion Reneau

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1495 ±33
LCB 1452
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-7-1
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-5
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Jul 17, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Alexis Dufresne Δ+26Feb 22, 2015 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+36Jul 15, 2015 — L vs Holly Holm Δ-31Feb 21, 2016 — L vs Ashlee Evans-Smith Δ-34Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Milana Dudieva Δ+33Mar 11, 2017 — D vs Bethe Correia Δ+0Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Talita Bernardo Δ+17Feb 24, 2018 — W vs Sara McMann Δ+16Jul 14, 2018 — L vs Cat Zingano Δ-19Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Yana Santos Δ-18Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Raquel Pennington Δ-15Mar 20, 2021 — L vs Macy Chiasson Δ-13Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Miesha Tate Δ-16 14421482152215631603 201620172018201920202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":124.6,"elo":1526,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Alexis Dufresne","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":41.8,"y":77.5,"elo":1562,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":92.9,"y":118.7,"elo":1531,"date":"2015-07-15","opp":"Holly Holm","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":171.8,"y":163.5,"elo":1497,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Ashlee Evans-Smith","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":4,"x":268.9,"y":120.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Milana Dudieva","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":308.8,"y":119.9,"elo":1530,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Bethe Correia","result":"D","delta":0},{"i":6,"x":371.3,"y":97.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Talita Bernardo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":433.8,"y":76.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Sara McMann","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":483.7,"y":101.8,"elo":1544,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Cat Zingano","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":568.7,"y":125.1,"elo":1526,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Yana Santos","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":736.1,"y":145,"elo":1511,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Raquel Pennington","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":833.5,"y":162,"elo":1498,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Macy Chiasson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":183.5,"elo":1482,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 17, 2021 Miesha Tate L -16
Mar 20, 2021 Macy Chiasson L -13
Jun 20, 2020 Raquel Pennington L -15
Mar 9, 2019 Yana Santos L -18
Jul 14, 2018 Cat Zingano L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.03 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.33 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.58 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
64% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.75 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
4 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
1
20% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 1 (20%) 1
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
1 25%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1531
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.7
actual -2 vs expected