Ariel Beck
Inactive Provisional · age 35 · Southpaw ·
5'6" 168 cm ·
125 lb 57 kg · reach
66" 168 cm
At a glance
- UFC veteran since 2017
Elo rating
1495
Global Elo 1521 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +54 · Δ1y +54
Last fight
Dec 1, 2017
Loss by KO · R2
UFC debut the one fight we've seen
Lost by KO/TKO · Round 2
Debut opponent
Shana Dobson 1500
Elo at fight time
The model gave Beck a 50% pre-fight chance against this opponent. It went the other way.
Debut performance
4.4
Strikes landed / min
34%
Striking accuracy
64%
Striking defense
0.3m
Control / 15 min
This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →
Career at a glance
Octagon time
8m
Avg fight time
7:53
Since last fight
8y 9mo
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Honest Elo history
1 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | Shana Dobson | L | -33 |
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Carli Judice8.66
- 2Casey O'Neill7.89
- 3Wang Cong6.84
- 4Diana Belbita6.45
- 5Manon Fiorot5.66
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Wang Cong58%
- 2Zhang Weili53%
- 3Valentina Shevchenko53%
- 4Casey O'Neill52%
- 5Maycee Barber51%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Valentina Shevchenko2.00
- 2Ivana Petrovic2.05
- 3Miranda Maverick2.25
- 4Natalia Silva2.36
- 5Dione Barbosa2.40
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Striking Defense
- 1Manon Fiorot67%
- 2Natalia Silva66%
- 3Dione Barbosa64%
- 4Jamey-Lyn Horth64%
- 5Rose Namajunas64%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Eduarda Moura3.57
- 2Valentina Shevchenko2.65
- 3Jasmine Jasudavicius2.49
- 4Dione Barbosa2.42
- 5Juliana Miller2.38
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Brogan Walker75%
- 2Wang Cong67%
- 3Ernesta Kareckaite67%
- 4Diana Belbita63%
- 5Valentina Shevchenko62%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Tereza Bleda100%
- 2Natalia Silva90%
- 3Manon Fiorot88%
- 4Wang Cong86%
- 5Carli Judice83%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Dione Barbosa1.54
- 2Julija Stoliarenko1.41
- 3Karine Silva1.38
- 4Juliana Miller1.30
- 5Tereza Bleda1.05
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Tereza Bleda9.00
- 2Jasmine Jasudavicius7.29
- 3Eduarda Moura6.22
- 4Juliana Miller6.06
- 5Erin Blanchfield5.76
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · womens flyweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Carli Judice0.69
- 2Wang Cong0.64
- 3Rose Namajunas0.30
- 4Natalia Silva0.29
- 5Ariane Da Silva0.28
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 35 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
46% Body
- Head 23%
- Body 46%
- Leg 31%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
97% Distance
- Distance 97%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 0%
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.5
−0.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
8m
Avg fight time
7:53
Since last fight
8y 9mo
Top womens flyweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Ariel Beck on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.