HonestElo
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Joseph Holmes

Inactive
Elo rating
1463 ±34
LCB 1419
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +27 · Δ1y +27
Last fight
May 6, 2023
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jan 15, 2022 — L vs Jamie Pickett Δ-31May 21, 2022 — W vs Alen Amedovski Δ+30Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Junyong Park Δ-30May 6, 2023 — L vs Claudio Ribeiro Δ-33 13951431146715031539 2023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":127.5,"elo":1469,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Jamie Pickett","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":249.5,"y":83.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Alen Amedovski","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":537.7,"y":128.1,"elo":1468,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Junyong Park","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":176.9,"elo":1435,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Claudio Ribeiro","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 6, 2023 Claudio Ribeiro L -33
Oct 29, 2022 Junyong Park L -30
May 21, 2022 Alen Amedovski W +30
Jan 15, 2022 Jamie Pickett L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.60 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
58% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.65 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.38 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1476
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual -1 vs expected