HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Julia Avila

Active #28 womens bantamweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1498 ±36
LCB 1452
Rank
#28
top 75% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Feb 15, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Pannie Kianzad Δ+25Jun 13, 2020 — W vs Gina Mazany Δ+25Sep 12, 2020 — L vs Sijara Eubanks Δ-31Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ+26Dec 2, 2023 — L vs Miesha Tate Δ-35Feb 15, 2025 — L vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti Δ-13 14571491152415571591 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":127.7,"elo":1525,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Pannie Kianzad","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":166.5,"y":87.6,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Gina Mazany","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":204.3,"y":137.4,"elo":1519,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Sijara Eubanks","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":323.5,"y":95.7,"elo":1546,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":692.8,"y":152.2,"elo":1510,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":172.4,"elo":1497,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Jacqueline Cavalcanti","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 15, 2025 Jacqueline Cavalcanti L -13
Dec 2, 2023 Miesha Tate L -35
Jun 26, 2021 Julija Stoliarenko W +26
Sep 12, 2020 Sijara Eubanks L -31
Jun 13, 2020 Gina Mazany W +25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.49 avg 3.71
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.91 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.56 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.19 avg 0.38
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1502
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual 0 vs expected