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Patrick Smith

Inactive catchweight bout (unranked) · age 62 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 225 lb 102 kg
At a glance
  • 2 submissions in a row
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1524
Global Elo 1566 ±32
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 0
Streak
+2
Δ90d -26 · Δ1y -26
Last fight
Jul 14, 1995
Win by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5m
Avg fight time
1:00
Title fights
0-1
Fights per year
3.7
Since last fight
30y 12mo

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Mar 11, 1994 — W vs Ray Wizard Δ+33Mar 11, 1994 — W vs Scott Morris Δ+33Mar 11, 1994 — L vs Royce Gracie Δ-37Mar 11, 1994 — W vs Johnny Rhodes Δ+36Jul 14, 1995 — W vs Rudyard Moncayo Δ+27 1440146014801500152015401560 1995 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":342.5,"elo":1465,"date":"1994-03-11","opp":"Ray Wizard","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":90,"y":254.3,"elo":1498,"date":"1994-03-11","opp":"Scott Morris","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":90,"y":354.3,"elo":1461,"date":"1994-03-11","opp":"Royce Gracie","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":90,"y":257.2,"elo":1497,"date":"1994-03-11","opp":"Johnny Rhodes","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":185.2,"elo":1524,"date":"1995-07-14","opp":"Rudyard Moncayo","result":"W","delta":27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 14, 1995 Rudyard Moncayo W +27
Mar 11, 1994 Johnny Rhodes W +36
Mar 11, 1994 Royce Gracie L -37
Mar 11, 1994 Scott Morris W +33
Mar 11, 1994 Ray Wizard W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
—
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
4 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
3
75% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 3 (75%) 3 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
4 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 26 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 35%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
54% Ground
  • Distance 15%
  • Clinch 31%
  • Ground 54%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
1 of 1
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1539
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Johnny Rhodes
Elo 1563 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.5
+1.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Patrick Smith on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.